The worst case scenario suggests a second wave up to 2.3 times as big as the first
of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine simulated how Covid-19 may spread when schools reopen next month. It also took account of broader implications such as more parents returning to work and its possible implications.
‘Reopening schools fully in September, alongside reopening workplaces in society, without an effective test, trace, isolating strategy could result in a second wave of infections between two and 2.3 times the size of the original wave. An NHS Test and Trace form is displayed at the entrance of the Regal Moon JD Wetherspoons pub in Rochdale, England
On Friday, chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty warned that data suggests ‘we have probably reached near the limit or the limits of what we can do in terms of opening up society’.
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